State of the World from NPR What is the path forward for Venezuela?
Jan 16, 2026
Eduardo Gamara, a politics and international relations professor at Florida International University, analyzes the recent capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. He discusses the implications of Trump's recognition of opposition leader Machado and the challenges of destabilizing Maduro's regime. Gamara highlights the complexities of forming a transitional government amidst Venezuelan gangs and military control. He also delves into the daunting task prosecutors face in building a case against Maduro for drug trafficking, examining the intricacies of evidence and witness credibility.
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Machado Gains White House Recognition
- Maria Corina Machado secured a face-to-face meeting with Donald Trump, signaling U.S. recognition of her role in Venezuela's opposition.
- Trump is balancing ties with both Machado and Delcy Rodríguez to keep options open for a transition leader.
U.S. Prioritizes Stability And Oil Access
- The Trump administration appears to prioritize short-term stability and control over Venezuela's oil sector when engaging with current regime figures.
- That leads the U.S. to work with controversial officials like Delcy Rodríguez despite their ties to Maduro's government.
Transitions Require Compromises
- Venezuelan transition may require compromises with individuals complicit in the regime to maintain order.
- Gamara warns transitions often mean "swallowing frogs," working with unsavory actors to move forward.