Marketplace

Predicting the Fed's every move

11 snips
Nov 26, 2025
Justin Ho, a Marketplace reporter, breaks down the implications of falling Treasury yields on Fed expectations. Sabri Beneshour explains how market participants use Fed funds futures to hedge bets on the Fed's decisions. Ben Cohen dives into the rise of PG movies at the box office, highlighting studios' strategies to target kids. Kristen Schwab sheds light on the confusing labor market dynamics, while Matt Levin discusses the safety implications of AI toys making their way into children's hands this Christmas.
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INSIGHT

Bond Yields Signal Expected Fed Cuts

  • Short- and medium-term Treasury yields falling signal markets expect the Fed to cut rates.
  • Stable 10- and 30-year yields suggest investors expect decent long-term growth rather than imminent recession.
INSIGHT

Futures Reveal And Shape Fed Expectations

  • Fed funds futures let markets and institutions hedge and reveal collective expectations about Fed policy.
  • The Fed watches these markets too and may try to reset expectations if they diverge from its view.
INSIGHT

PG Movies Capture Viral, Family Audiences

  • PG-rated films now dominate box office because they capture the widest audience and create participatory fandom.
  • Studios bank on Gen Alpha's theater preference to build long-term viewing habits.
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