Kursk counter-offensive continues & new munitions funnelled to Ukraine from India
Sep 19, 2024
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Dominic Nicholls, an Associate Editor focused on Defence, and Francis Dearnley, an Assistant Comment Editor, team up with Ukrainian journalist Svitlana Morenets to unpack the latest military strategies in the Kursk counter-offensive. They discuss the intriguing arrival of Indian munitions in Ukraine and its geopolitical ramifications. The trio also explores Ukraine's push for NATO membership, the challenges of corruption, and cultural transformations amidst conflict, all while spotlighting Germany's vital military support.
The military dynamics in Kursk highlight a lack of strategic coordination among Russian forces, leading to limited territorial gains for either side.
India's diversion of munitions to Ukraine, amid Russian pressure, signifies shifting geopolitical alliances and Ukraine's evolving military capabilities.
Deep dives
Current Military Situation in Ukraine
The ongoing military dynamics in Ukraine reveal a complex picture, particularly in the Kursk region where Russian forces continue attempts at counterattacks. These efforts appear to lack coordination, characterized by minor tactical gains rather than a cohesive strategy. Despite Ukraine's persistence in expanding its controlled territory, overall movement has been limited, with violent confrontations continuing without significant advancements from either side. Casualties have occurred in various oblasts, highlighting the ongoing nature of the conflict despite reports of a stable front from Ukrainian forces.
International Munitions Supply Dynamics
Recent investigations indicate that Indian arms, particularly artillery shells, are being rerouted to Ukraine, raising questions about the implications for India's stance amidst the ongoing war. Reports suggest that European customers have been instrumental in diverting these munitions, which have been flowing into Ukraine for over a year. Despite pressure from Moscow for India to intervene and halt this trade, it appears that European countries are collaborating with India to bolster Ukraine's military capacity. The Czech Republic has taken a front seat in coordinating artillery supplies and aiming to acquire more capabilities for Ukraine, exemplifying the shifting allegiances in the region.
Cultural Shifts in Ukraine
The ongoing conflict has accelerated a profound transformation in Ukrainian identity and cultural expression, moving away from Russian influences. Legislative actions, such as renaming geographic locations associated with the Russian Empire, reflect a broader decolonization effort aimed at affirming a distinct Ukrainian identity. Additionally, the social fabric is changing, with an increasing acceptance and promotion of the Ukrainian language and culture, contrasting the historical preference for Russian. The shift highlights a growing national pride, as Ukrainians increasingly reject ties to their Soviet past in favor of celebrating their own heritage.
Political Integrity and Corruption Challenges
Ukraine is grappling with significant political integrity issues, notably a growing crisis of corruption involving fleeing officials. Instances of key members of government evading justice by leaving the country amid scandals have sparked public outrage, challenging President Zelensky's commitment to combating systemic corruption. Despite anticipated government reshuffles, critical positions implicated in this corruption have remained unchanged, undermining public confidence. This juxtaposition of governance during wartime amplifies calls for accountability and effective regulation within the Ukrainian political landscape.
Today, we assess the latest military manoeuvres in Kursk, look at how Indian munitions are finding their way into Ukraine, and consider the latest in Ukrainian politics and culture.
Contributors:
Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence). @DomNicholls on X.
Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.
Svitlana Morenets (Ukrainian journalist, The Spectator) @SvMorenets on X.
Articles Referenced:
Ammunition from India enters Ukraine, raising Russian ire (Reuters)