World in 10 The big global security questions for 2025
Jan 1, 2025
Marina Miron, an expert from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, shares her insights on pressing global security challenges for 2025. She discusses the complexities of a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, highlighting Donald Trump's possible influence. The conversation dives into Iran's shifting power in the Middle East and the nuances of conflict in Syria and Gaza. Additionally, Miron addresses China's military ambitions toward Taiwan and the significant implications of such aggression on global stability and international relations.
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Ukraine Peace Prospects
- Trump claims he could end the Ukraine war quickly, but Russia seems unwilling to negotiate.
- Ukraine faces manpower shortages, making a negotiated peace more likely but on unfavorable terms.
Iran's Weakened Position
- Iran's influence is weakened due to losses in Syria and among its proxies.
- It's unlikely Iran can rebuild its power quickly, but it may pursue nuclear weapons and prepare for confrontation with a potential Trump administration.
Gaza Ceasefire Fragility
- A ceasefire in Gaza depends on a reconstruction plan and a political solution for the region.
- Ceasefires between states and non-state actors are fragile, often allowing one side to regroup and strike again.