Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast

Steven Jermy: Russia's War Objectives & Europe's Downfall

Nov 28, 2025
Steven Jermy, a retired Royal Navy Commodore with extensive military experience, discusses the flaws in Western strategy since the 1990s and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. He analyzes Putin's motives, framing them as security-driven, and details five phases of Russia's campaign. Jermy highlights the strategic significance of Odessa and the challenges NATO faces in countering Russia. Advocating for renewed dialogue and independent European security strategies, he emphasizes the urgent need for a new approach to multipolarity and economic security.
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INSIGHT

Phased Russian Strategy Not A Single Blitz

  • Russia's campaign evolved in phases from diplomacy backed by force to attritional operations and exploitation.
  • Steve Jermy argues the initial aim was to bring Ukraine to negotiations, not to conquer it outright.
ADVICE

Analyze Motives Before Assigning Blame

  • Avoid explaining Russian actions as arising from imperialist whims alone; analyze their security concerns first.
  • Jermy urges Western strategists to study Russian motives and strategy rather than rely on a political narrative.
INSIGHT

Surovikian Line And Mobilization Central

  • Russia shifted from a diplomatic coercion to consolidated defensive lines and then to an attritional offensive.
  • Jermy sees the Surovikian line and mobilization as central to Russia forcing Ukrainian attrition and collapse.
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