SmarterMarkets™

What are SmarterMarkets? Episode 1 | Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research

Jan 15, 2022
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INSIGHT

Low-Income Groups Drive Commodity Inflation

  • Low-income groups drive physical inflation and commodity bull markets through volumetric demand growth.
  • High-income groups cannot cause physical inflation due to insufficient volume of consumption.
INSIGHT

Stimulus Focus Shapes Inflation

  • Stimulating lower income groups sustains inflationary pressure by expanding volumetric consumption.
  • Policies like green capitalism and onshoring support lower income employment, reinforcing commodity price growth.
INSIGHT

Old Economy Shortages Fuel Inflation

  • The old economy shortage of workers and capital causes inflation in goods due to underinvestment.
  • Rebound demand with insufficient resources creates a self-reinforcing inflationary cycle.
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