Dennis DeBusschere, founder and chief market strategist of 22V Research, offers a deep dive into the current economic landscape. He discusses the resilience of large cap tech stocks amid volatility and the risks associated with tariffs and rising bond yields. Dennis emphasizes the Fed's policies and US debt, while exploring the interconnections of fiscal stimulus and market performance. Notably, he introduces his 'fire and ice regime' approach tailored for adapting to shifting economic conditions, alongside insights on small caps and alternative assets.
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insights INSIGHT
Defensive Positioning Amid Growth
Investors remain defensive, favoring growth momentum and quality factors while avoiding economically sensitive sectors.
Economic growth is holding up better than expected, supporting an "everything rally" including small caps and junk debt for now.
insights INSIGHT
Fed Welcomes Slowdown
The Fed will welcome a slowdown to keep inflation and expectations in check, maintaining restrictive rates for 8-12 months.
Inflation due to tariffs will keep core inflation above target, slowing GDP growth below 2%.
insights INSIGHT
Yield Levels Restrict Economy
Higher 10-year yields will keep certain economy areas like housing and lower-income consumers weak to contain inflation.
The Fed aims for below-trend growth to prevent inflation from rising too much despite private sector growth.
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Danny Moses talks with Dennis DeBusschere, founder and chief market strategist of 22V Research. They discuss various economic indicators, the state of large cap tech stocks, and the risks posed by tariffs and rising 10-year bond yields. Dennis shares insights on the Fed's stance, US debt, private credit, energy sector, and gold. The conversation covers the complex dynamics between fiscal stimulus, the Fed's monetary policy, and their implications for market performance. Specific attention is given to the influence of long-term yields on different market segments, particularly small caps and economically sensitive sectors. Dennis also outlines how his 'fire and ice regime' adapts to these economic conditions.
-- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.
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On The Tape with Danny Moses