

Michael Mauboussin on How to Read Stock Prices (Podcast)
Misunderstood Expectations
- Investors often misunderstand "expectations" regarding stock valuation.
- Multiples, like P/E ratios, are shorthand for valuation but embed assumptions about growth and returns.
Earnings and Value
- Earnings alone don't fully reflect a company's value; other factors matter.
- Consider temporary one-offs or future growth potential.
Reverse-Engineer Expectations
- Start with the known stock price and reverse-engineer the implied expectations.
- Determine if the company will likely outperform or underperform those expectations to inform your decisions.












Bloomberg Opinion columnist Barry Ritholtz speaks with Michael Mauboussin, who is head of consilient research at Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Counterpoint Global and co-author of the recently revised and updated book "Expectations Investing: Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns." Mauboussin joined Morgan Stanley in 2020 and has more than three decades of experience. He previously served as director of research at BlueMountain Capital Management, head of global financial strategies at Credit Suisse, and chief investment strategist at Legg Mason Capital Management. He is also an adjunct professor of finance at Columbia Business School and chairman of the board of trustees at the Santa Fe Institute.
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