Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Jiang Xueqin: Chain Reaction Toward World War III Has Begun
Dec 19, 2025
Jiang Xueqin, an academic and commentator known for his forecasts on geopolitics, shares his insights on the rising risks of global conflict. He argues that historical patterns and game theory reveal a creeping likelihood of World War III, largely fueled by US national interests and the revival of territorial doctrines. Jiang highlights the precarious situation in Ukraine, the escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the role of Iran in Eurasian dynamics. He warns that limited military actions often spiral into broader wars, tracing parallels with past power shifts.
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US Strategy Shifts To Raw Self-Interest
- The US National Security Strategy signals a shift from rules-based order to raw national self-interest.
- Jiang warns this drives US enforcement in its hemisphere and clashes with China's South American ties.
Europe Keeps Ukraine Fighting To Block Russia
- Jiang argues the Russia–Ukraine war is effectively decided and Europe's aid prolongs conflict for political reasons.
- Europe finances continued fighting to prevent Russia consolidating power and threatening European supremacy.
Middle East Peace Treaties Are Fragile
- The Middle East is primed for wider escalation as Israel, Hamas and Hezbollah agreements unravel.
- Jiang sees Israeli actions and attributed incidents as pretexts that could drag Iran and the region into broader conflict.