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FiveThirtyEight Politics

How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics

Oct 23, 2024
Matt Grossmann and David Hopkins, political science professors and co-authors of "Polarized by Degrees," dive into the unprecedented educational divide shaping American politics. They discuss how college-educated voters lean Democratic, while non-college-educated voters are shifting right. The conversation highlights Democrats' reliance on expert opinions versus Republicans' skepticism, exploring the impact on governance and public perception. They also examine the implications for party strategies and the future of electoral outcomes in this polarized landscape.
41:16

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Quick takeaways

  • The growing educational divide in American politics has led college-educated voters to increasingly align with Democrats while non-college-educated voters favor Republicans.
  • This educational split shapes party governance approaches, with Democrats relying on expert-driven policies and Republicans expressing skepticism towards credentialed specialists.

Deep dives

Realignment of Voter Education and Political Affiliations

The 2016 election revealed a significant realignment of American voters based on educational attainment, with non-college-educated white voters leaning towards the Republican Party while college-educated voters shifted towards the Democrats. This transformation has entrenched various voting patterns, where Democrats struggle to regain the support of working-class voters who previously aligned with them. Historical battlegrounds like Harris County in Texas have become less competitive for Republicans, indicating this shift is part of a broader, lasting change in political dynamics. As detailed in 'Polarized by Degrees,' these patterns suggest that educational divides are becoming a central factor in American political affiliations.

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