Matt Grossmann and David Hopkins, political science professors and co-authors of "Polarized by Degrees," dive into the unprecedented educational divide shaping American politics. They discuss how college-educated voters lean Democratic, while non-college-educated voters are shifting right. The conversation highlights Democrats' reliance on expert opinions versus Republicans' skepticism, exploring the impact on governance and public perception. They also examine the implications for party strategies and the future of electoral outcomes in this polarized landscape.
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Quick takeaways
The growing educational divide in American politics has led college-educated voters to increasingly align with Democrats while non-college-educated voters favor Republicans.
This educational split shapes party governance approaches, with Democrats relying on expert-driven policies and Republicans expressing skepticism towards credentialed specialists.
Deep dives
Realignment of Voter Education and Political Affiliations
The 2016 election revealed a significant realignment of American voters based on educational attainment, with non-college-educated white voters leaning towards the Republican Party while college-educated voters shifted towards the Democrats. This transformation has entrenched various voting patterns, where Democrats struggle to regain the support of working-class voters who previously aligned with them. Historical battlegrounds like Harris County in Texas have become less competitive for Republicans, indicating this shift is part of a broader, lasting change in political dynamics. As detailed in 'Polarized by Degrees,' these patterns suggest that educational divides are becoming a central factor in American political affiliations.
Impact of Education on Governance and Policy Making
The educational divide is shaping how the two major political parties approach governance and policy formulation. Democrats increasingly align with the belief that public policy should be crafted by educated specialists who possess the necessary expertise to tackle social issues effectively. In contrast, Republicans tend to exhibit skepticism towards these credentialed experts, perceiving them as out of touch with the everyday experiences of 'regular folks.' This growing divide reflects broader changes in America's political landscape, particularly concerning contentious issues such as climate change and public health.
Complexities of Polarization Beyond Education
Polarization in the United States extends beyond educational attainment, encompassing various demographics, including religion, race, and geography. Though education serves as a prominent dividing line, it is part of a more comprehensive shift that also considers social and cultural conflict. As political identities solidify around educational categories, changes in voter behavior can still occur, suggesting ongoing shifts within party alignments. This reveals that while education plays a considerable role in polarization, it coexists with other critical factors driving contemporary political divisions.
Future Implications of Educational Polarization
Looking ahead, the educational divide is poised to remain a significant force in shaping American politics and governance. The Democratic Party is likely to continue attracting more educated voters while struggling to maintain connections with non-college-educated demographics, particularly among minority groups. Such dynamics could lead to a reinforcing loop where each party increasingly embodies the values and perspectives of their respective educational constituencies, heightening polarization. Consequently, policy debates may further reflect cultural and social issues rather than economic matters, marking a pivotal shift in American political discourse.
For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of the working class. But increasingly, education has become a larger dividing line in American politics than economic status. This trend has seen college-educated voters move toward the Democratic Party and non-college-educated voters shift toward Republicans.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Matt Grossmann and David Hopkins, authors of "Polarized by Degrees: How the Diploma Divide and the Culture War Transformed American Politics." They explore how this educational divide is reshaping not just electoral outcomes, but the way each party approaches governance and policy.