Fred Kaplan, Slate’s “War Stories” correspondent and author of The Bomb, discusses Ukraine’s war with Russia and the potential impact of Western intervention. Topics include Russia’s rocket attacks, their integrated command system and extensive reserves, the intensification of the conflict, shifting narratives in Ukraine, negotiations for aid from the US, changing American opinions, and the potential consequences if aid is not renewed.
Russia's missile attack on Ukraine revealed their integrated command system and greater resources than previously estimated.
Ukraine's response to the missile attack signaled a new phase of the war, involving guerrilla tactics and asymmetrical warfare, raising concerns about further escalation.
Deep dives
Russia launches a massive missile attack on Ukraine
Russia launched a highly coordinated and massive missile attack on cities all over Ukraine, launching around 180 rockets simultaneously. The attack was the largest since counting began, and it took Ukrainian officials and defense experts by surprise. The missiles seemed to elude any defense systems and even flew in circles before hitting their targets, displaying a level of sophistication. The attack showcased Russia's integrated command system and their reserves of manpower and weapons, revealing that they have more resources than previously estimated.
Ukraine escalates with guerrilla tactics against Russia
In response to Russia's missile attack, Ukraine fired rockets into Russian territory, signaling a new phase of the war. This escalation involved Ukraine using guerrilla tactics and targeting attacks inside Russia, breaking previous limits. Their actions conveyed the message that they have operatives within Russia and are willing to engage in asymmetrical warfare. This approach is not symmetrically matched with Russia's tactics and raises concerns about the potential for further escalation and the involvement of more combatants.
Uncertain future for Ukrainian aid from the West
The future of Western aid to Ukraine remains uncertain, highlighting the ongoing negotiations and conflicts surrounding financial support. Ukraine had hoped to secure $60 billion in aid, but only received a smaller weapons package of $250 million. Republicans in the US Congress are calling for stricter border regulations, while Senate Democrats see this demand as a non-starter. President Biden is caught in the middle, facing challenges in passing a bill that satisfies both sides. Without renewed aid from the US, Ukraine will face shortages of ammunition, missiles, and air defense systems in the coming months, which could profoundly impact their ability to defend against further Russian advances.
How much longer can Ukraine and Russia fight at a stalemate? And does the outcome of the war depend on Biden winning a second term?
Guest: Fred Kaplan, Slate’s “War Stories” correspondent and author of The Bomb.
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