Why Big Oil is resisting Trump’s call to ‘drill, baby, drill'
Feb 5, 2025
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Amanda Chu, a Financial Times reporter specializing in the U.S. energy sector, discusses the tensions between President Trump’s push for increased oil production and the reluctance of major oil companies. She highlights how the shale revolution reshaped the industry, revealing the conflicting priorities between profit-driven investors and political demands. The conversation also delves into the impact of low oil prices, regulatory changes, and proposed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, emphasizing the complex dynamics shaping today’s oil market.
Despite President Trump's push for increased oil production to combat inflation, major oil companies prioritize shareholder returns and cautious spending.
Current market conditions, including low oil prices and reduced global demand, lead oil companies to avoid aggressive expansion despite political pressure.
Deep dives
Record Oil Production in the U.S.
The United States has achieved record-breaking oil production, pumping more than 13 million barrels per day, surpassing any other country in history. This surge is largely attributed to advancements stemming from the shale revolution, which began around 2010 when new drilling technologies made it feasible to extract oil from previously untapped shale formations. Despite the U.S. being in a favorable position within the global oil market, President Trump’s administration has called for even higher production levels. However, the current market conditions and investor sentiments suggest that maintaining production levels is more feasible than aggressive expansion.
Trump's Push vs. Industry Reality
While President Trump advocates for increased oil drilling to tackle inflation and reduce energy prices, oil companies are not aligning with these orders. Major firms like Chevron and Occidental Petroleum are maintaining or reducing their capital expenditures for drilling, choosing to prioritize shareholder returns over expanding production. This divergence stems from the companies' focus on meeting investor demands and addressing an oil glut, which hinders the profitability of ramping up output. Consequently, Trump's desire for a 'drill, baby, drill' strategy clashes with the cautious approach taken by oil companies.
Challenges in the Oil Market
Several factors are contributing to the reluctance of oil companies to increase drilling despite pressure from Trump. The current price of oil hovers around $70 per barrel, which is below the levels needed for companies to justify a substantial increase in drilling activity. Furthermore, a downturn in global demand, particularly from China, and a flood of available supply are conditioning investor behavior, making them hesitant to invest in expanding production. Thus, without a significant turnaround in global market conditions, oil producers are unlikely to deviate from their conservative strategies any time soon.
US President Donald Trump wants energy producers to drill for more oil. He claims it will lower prices for consumers and tackle inflation. But oil companies have a different set of priorities — and those could send them on a collision course with Trump. Clips from C-Span, Fox, ABC