The Bunker
How will Trump try to end the war in Ukraine? – Gavin Esler asks Mark Galeotti
Jan 15, 2025
Mark Galeotti, a renowned Russia expert and host of the In Moscow’s Shadows podcast, dives deep into the implications of Donald Trump's potential return to power on the Ukraine war. He explores whether Trump could broker a feasible ceasefire amid the complexities of U.S.-Russia relations. The conversation touches on Ukraine's resilience without American support and the nuanced dynamics of negotiating peace with authoritarian regimes. Galeotti also discusses the strategic patience of Putin and the geopolitical shifts that may arise from these developments.
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Quick takeaways
- Trump's potential influence on a ceasefire in Ukraine presents complexities that could shift power dynamics favoring Russia if not handled carefully.
- The ongoing conflict highlights the struggle between Ukraine's need for consistent US support and Russia's ability to endure hardships through authoritarian resilience.
Deep dives
The Role of Trump in the Ukraine Conflict
Donald Trump may have the potential to influence a ceasefire in the ongoing Ukraine conflict, but this comes with complexities. The discussion posits that if Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky proves challenging to negotiate with, Trump could threaten to reduce support for Ukraine, while conversely, he could increase military assistance if Russia exhibits reluctance. This highlights the delicate balance of power and the differing interests of the involved parties. The possibility of a ceasefire created by Trump is seen as optimistic, but not without uncertainty, as it could shift control toward Putin in the long-term.
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