

Masters in Business: Yale Professor Robert Shiller (Audio)
35 snips Nov 22, 2014
Robert Shiller, a Yale economics professor and Nobel laureate, dives into the fascinating world of behavioral finance. He shares insights on his predictions of financial crises like the dot-com bubble and the housing market collapse. The discussion highlights the significance of cognitive biases and market inefficiencies in investor behavior. Shiller also emphasizes the evolution of home price indexes and the psychological factors that influence market sentiment, painting a complex picture of economic fluctuations.
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Efficient Market Hypothesis Dominance
- From 1960 to 1990, the efficient market hypothesis, which posits that markets accurately reflect all available information, dominated economic thought.
- This led to a decline in interest in investor psychology, as beating the market was deemed improbable.
1987 Stock Market Crash
- The 1987 stock market crash, where the Dow Jones lost 23% in a single day, challenged the efficient market hypothesis.
- The lack of a clear news event to explain the crash exposed flaws in the theory's logic.
Recurring Bubbles and Crashes
- Market bubbles and crashes are recurring phenomena throughout history, affecting various asset classes like stocks, housing, and gold.
- While markets often reflect real news, deviations from the efficient markets theory contribute to these volatile swings.