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Is Covid-19 A Black Swan Event?

Taleb famously came out very early during the pandemic to proclaim that Covid-19 was in fact a 'White Swan' and not the Black Swan people insisted it be categorised. Taleb complained that the Black Swan diagnoses had become a cliche for pretty much any bad event. Just because something unexpected happens doesn't make it a Black Swan.

There are specific hallmarks that define a Black Swan. Does Covid-19 fit all of them?

They are an extreme event. 9/11, Coronavirus, 2004 Indonesian Tsunami…
They have an extreme impact. Colonisation of Latin America, the invention of Penicillin…
They are only explicable after the fact. The election of Donald Trump, the catalyst of WW1 (28/7-1914)

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