Talking Geopolitics Defending the Pacific: George Friedman on Australia, Japan and the coalition against China
Nov 7, 2025
George Friedman, founder of Geopolitical Futures and a leading expert on global strategy, dives into the escalating military dynamics in the Asia-Pacific. He explains China’s substantial naval expansion and its implications for Australia’s national security. Friedman highlights the significance of AUKUS and the Quad, emphasizing Australia’s strategic need for nuclear-powered submarines. He also discusses the complex relationship between economic interdependence and military risks, and the critical role of Taiwan in maintaining regional stability.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
China's Military Is Largely Defensive
- China builds a large military partly from defensive fear, not only aggression.
- George Friedman emphasizes China prepares for worst-case threats to its access to the seas.
Island Chains Threaten China's Access
- China worries about a string of islands that can block its access to the Pacific.
- Friedman explains the island chains from Japan through the Philippines create strategic choke points.
Australia Should Shoulder Sea-Lane Defense
- Australia must build naval capabilities to secure its sea lanes and not rely solely on the U.S.
- Friedman advises Australia to field forces that ensure continued access to global trade routes.