Could Donald Trump reignite a peace deal for the Israel-Gaza war?
Jan 7, 2025
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Rushdi Abu Alouf, BBC's Gaza correspondent, shares harrowing insights from the frontlines of the ongoing conflict, while Paul Adams, BBC's diplomatic correspondent, unpacks the complex political dynamics at play. They discuss the hopeful yet uncertain ceasefire talks in Doha and the potential influence of Donald Trump's presidency on peace initiatives. The humanitarian crises faced by Palestinians and the intricate negotiations surrounding hostage releases highlight the urgent need for resolution in this tumultuous landscape.
The humanitarian crisis in Gaza has escalated, with millions suffering from death, hunger, and harsh winter conditions, necessitating urgent aid.
Negotiations for a ceasefire involving hostages are complicated by the political landscape, particularly with Donald Trump's imminent presidency potentially influencing the dynamics.
Deep dives
Humanitarian Crisis in Gaza
The ongoing conflict in Gaza continues to result in a severe humanitarian crisis, with millions suffering from death, hunger, and cold. The conditions have worsened, particularly in the north, where many are living in makeshift shelters and struggling against the harsh winter weather. Reports indicate that a significant number of people, including very young children, have died due to cold exposure, highlighting the urgency of providing aid. The lack of functional hospitals and access to basic necessities like food, clean water, and medicine exacerbates this dire situation.
Ceasefire Negotiations and Hostage Release
Negotiations for a potential ceasefire have revealed a complicated dynamic between Hamas and Israel regarding hostages. Hamas has presented a list of hostages it might be willing to release, but significant uncertainties remain, including the status of those on the list and the lack of clarity on whether they are alive or deceased. The negotiations are taking place indirectly through mediators, predominantly Egypt and Qatar, further complicating communication and agreement processes. The overarching goal is to structure the release of hostages in stages, beginning with civilians and women before addressing the remaining hostages, mostly military personnel.
Political Context and International Influence
The potential for a ceasefire is influenced by the political landscape, particularly with the imminent inauguration of Donald Trump as U.S. president. Observers note that his administration could shift the dynamics of negotiations, historically showing strong support for Israel. Despite the persistent pressure from international entities to reach a peace agreement, many remain skeptical about achieving substantive progress before Trump takes office. The complexities of regional politics, including ongoing military efforts in Lebanon and challenges in Syria, further complicate the situation, making a viable resolution seem uncertain.
The conflict in Gaza has continued into 2025 but there is still hope for a ceasefire as talks resume in Doha. Previous attempts at achieving peace have failed, but with the arrival of Donald Trump as the new US President in less than two weeks – could this be the moment that a ceasefire deal finally succeeds?
On this episode Sumi Somaskanda speaks with the BBC's Gaza correspondent Rushdi Abualouf and the BBC's diplomatic correspondent Paul Adams about the hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza this year, and whether the arrival of Donald Trump will change the course of events in the Middle East.
The Global Story brings you trusted insights from BBC journalists worldwide. We want your ideas, stories and experiences to help us understand and tell #TheGlobalStory. Email us at theglobalstory@bbc.com You can also message us or leave a voice note via WhatsApp on +44 330 123 9480.
Producers: Alice Aylett Roberts and Tom Kavanagh
Sound engineers: Jonny Baker and Phil Bull
Assistant editor: Sergi Forcada Freixas
Senior news editor: China Collins
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