The Rob Vinall Podcast

RV Capital's 2023 Letter to Co-Investors

Mar 15, 2024
Rob Vinall discusses the perils of reading too much into recent experiences, the current sentiment towards China, and a new investment in PDD Holdings. Topics also include exploring knowledge and lessons in investing, adaptation and efficiency in challenging times, and analyzing Pinduoduo's expansion strategies and competitive advantage.
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INSIGHT

Beware Short-Term Lessons

  • Investment feedback loops are very long, making short-term lessons unreliable.
  • Focus on a priori truths rather than recent experience when forming investment convictions.
INSIGHT

Crisis Often Breeds Stronger Companies

  • Deep crises can create greater potential upside as companies tighten and improve.
  • Many firms cut costs, sharpen focus and repurchased shares, boosting intrinsic value despite lower prices.
ANECDOTE

Carvana’s Turnaround Example

  • Carvana turned unit economics from poor to solid, raising gross profit per retail unit dramatically.
  • It renegotiated debt, faced weakened competitors, and regained focus under its CEO Ernie Garcia.
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