
The Rob Vinall Podcast RV Capital's 2023 Letter to Co-Investors
Mar 15, 2024
Rob Vinall discusses the perils of reading too much into recent experiences, the current sentiment towards China, and a new investment in PDD Holdings. Topics also include exploring knowledge and lessons in investing, adaptation and efficiency in challenging times, and analyzing Pinduoduo's expansion strategies and competitive advantage.
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Beware Short-Term Lessons
- Investment feedback loops are very long, making short-term lessons unreliable.
- Focus on a priori truths rather than recent experience when forming investment convictions.
Crisis Often Breeds Stronger Companies
- Deep crises can create greater potential upside as companies tighten and improve.
- Many firms cut costs, sharpen focus and repurchased shares, boosting intrinsic value despite lower prices.
Carvana’s Turnaround Example
- Carvana turned unit economics from poor to solid, raising gross profit per retail unit dramatically.
- It renegotiated debt, faced weakened competitors, and regained focus under its CEO Ernie Garcia.
