Episode 19

On today's show I speak with Bob Elliott, Co-Founder, CEO & CIO of Unlimited Funds, Bringing the Indexing Revolution to Alternative Investments, about macroeconomics and applying the data to various asset classes and market.

1. FED & Inflation

Although there is a deceleration pattern emerging with CPI (mostly due to medical the past 2 mo - odd), the current disinflationary forces in Core goods may have bottomed and could possibly reverse (as it moves in waves)
Labor market holds key to inflation. Nominal wages have grown significantly. Increased tightness in labor markets is placing pressure on consumer prices.

2. Labor Market

Finding a mid-pt with all data
Services spending is mostly a function of employment and wages.
Employment stretched so services spending is compensating for the contraction in goods and real estate spending.
As FED tightens monetary policy, with goal of higher unemployment, services should weaken which will likely weaken GDP.

3. Earnings

Public vs Private

4. Everything bubble and this time period is like a mix of many different bear market cycles – 40s (post WW2), 70s 2000s cycle, 2008, and post WW2 40s

5. GOAL - producing durable ALPHA!

6. Alternative Asset Classes and Investments

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Is The Economy Headed For Transitory "Goldilocks?" | Bob Elliott Ep.19