This episode features lively discussions about 2024 predictions and bold forecasts for 2025. The hosts dissect Amazon's potential software shift for Fire TV, and explore gaming advancements like Epic Games' Linux support. They also tackle the unsustainable AI hype and concerns about infrastructure security. Geopolitical tensions and VR innovations are examined, alongside reflections on Tesla's self-driving risks. Finally, there's a deep dive into the future of desktop Linux and evolving environments like XFCE, KDE, and GNOME.
The podcast reviews the predictions for 2024, highlighting notable inaccuracies while expressing continued stability in the tech market.
Looking towards 2025, the speakers anticipate an AI bubble burst and increased investment in quantum computing amid evolving technology challenges.
Deep dives
Review of 2024 Predictions
The discussion reflects on the predictions made for the year 2024, highlighting notable misses and successes among the speakers. One speaker anticipated a financial collapse of a smaller cloud vendor, which did not occur, indicating that the market remained stable despite expectations of tightened financial conditions. Another prediction about Amazon's operating system revealed a lack of updates, leading to the assumption that the planned changes may have been abandoned due to complexities. Overall, the group recognized that while certain predictions were off the mark, the tech landscape had not faced the drastic changes anticipated.
Predictions for 2025 – AI and Investment Trends
Looking ahead to 2025, a significant prediction includes the possible burst of the AI bubble, alongside a reassessment of venture capital investments in the sector. The speakers believe that as the AI industry matures, there will be a shift of focus towards more practical applications, such as documentation search engines, while the hype surrounding artificial general intelligence (AGI) will fade. In parallel, the speakers mention that interest might pivot towards quantum computing, which they foresee as the next big area for investment and development. This evolving landscape suggests both challenges and opportunities for technology stakeholders and investors alike.
Changes in Desktop Linux and Software Development
The conversation reveals optimism about the future of desktop Linux, emphasizing a period of incremental improvements rather than dramatic upheavals. The participants speculate that developers will start receiving adequate financial backing from users, which could lead to better sustainability and innovation within projects. They also discuss the potential for KDE to rise as a prominent player with its own official distribution, enhancing its identity within the Linux ecosystem. This focus on stable and well-supported software could signal a positive direction for Linux desktops moving forward.
Potential Cybersecurity Threats and Infrastructure Risks
Concerns about cybersecurity emerge in the predictions, with expectations of malicious code infiltrating critical infrastructures. There is a prevailing fear that, as systems grow more complex and automated, vulnerabilities will increase, allowing dangerous code to slip through testing protocols. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions could heighten risks associated with cyber warfare, particularly with acts of aggression aimed at disrupting communications in Europe. These predictions underline a critical need for vigilance and robust security measures in an increasingly interconnected world.
It’s that time of year where we look back at our 2024 predictions, and make some new ones for 2025.
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