The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1012: 10 Trends for Week 1
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Sep 3, 2025 Dive into the excitement of the new football season and the strategies for Best Ball leagues. Discover the Packers' offensive shifts and the potential impact of rookie Brian Thomas. Analyze the performance of key players like Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Jacoby Myers. Uncover how declining pass rates might affect fantasy strategies, alongside insights from historical data for predicting player performance. This discussion is a treasure trove for anyone looking to up their fantasy game!
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Packers Passing Rebound Likely
- The Green Bay Packers drastically reduced pass rate last season, running more than they threw and dropping below 48% pass rate.
- JJ Zachariason expects more passing under LaFleur this year, which should boost the entire fantasy offense.
Brian Thomas' Elite Rookie Year
- Brian Thomas put up elite rookie receiving efficiency with high yards per route run and 25% target rate on routes.
- Only three rookies since 2011 matched his 20% target share and 11+ yards per target marks: Ja'Marr Chase, Julio Jones, and Thomas.
Target Krosky-Merritt As A Dart
- Consider Ja'Cory Krosky-Merritt as a dart in ambiguous Washington backfield because of his receiving upside and strong secondary metrics.
- Manage expectations since his age and lower breakout score make him a risky pick who could fail to become a stud.