TRIGGERnometry Economic Disaster is Already Here - Peter Zeihan
Aug 4, 2022
In this discussion, Peter Zeihan, a geopolitical analyst and author, delves into the fragile state of globalization and its consequences, highlighting risks like food shortages and energy crises. He addresses Britain's complex position post-Brexit, focusing on trade challenges and labor shortages. Zeihan reveals vulnerabilities in the German and Chinese economies, emphasizing demographic issues. He also explores future growth opportunities through technology and agriculture, while navigating the chaotic information landscape that influences political and economic decisions.
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Deglobalization's Impact
- Globalization's end will be disastrous for most of the world, causing food and energy shortages.
- Many countries rely on imports or inputs from other continents, making them vulnerable.
Globalization's Rise and Fall
- Globalization was enabled by the US Navy patrolling oceans, allowing open trade, and causing urbanization.
- This shift to city life changed family structures, leading to a declining birth rate and an eventual adult shortage.
Population Crash
- The world isn't overpopulated; we're facing a population crash due to declining birth rates.
- Industrialization lowered mortality rates, but birth rates continued falling, worsening the demographic imbalance.
