Audio Briefs Chaos, Power, and Diplomacy: What Kissinger and Trump Teach Us About World Order
Jan 28, 2025
Jon B. Alterman, a commentary author at CSIS, dives into the contrasting diplomatic philosophies of Henry Kissinger and Donald Trump. He highlights Kissinger's strategic approach versus Trump's unpredictable tactics aimed at deterring adversaries. The discussion also covers how Trump's foreign policy reshaped global dynamics, particularly in the Global South, as countries navigate U.S. unpredictability. Alterman explains how global leaders are adapting by withstanding rather than confronting U.S. influence, all while seeking long-term diplomatic success.
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Kissinger's Approach to Diplomacy
- Kissinger's superpower was understanding how states calculate interests, viewing them as rational actors.
- This allowed him to predict global behavior and find compromises, making him a respected diplomat.
Trump's Power Play
- Trump believes predictable U.S. behavior allows exploitation; unpredictable power deters other countries.
- This creates an environment where the U.S. wins without constant small battles, conserving resources.
Early Signs of Trump's Influence
- Trump's approach may have contributed to positive developments like the Gaza deal and Iranian dialogue.
- European defense spending discussions and shifts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict suggest his influence.