Sharp Tech with Ben Thompson (Preview) What AI Could Mean for Aggregation Theory, o3 and Moore’s Law, More Questions Than Answers as Tech Enters 2025
23 snips
Jan 6, 2025 The discussion kicks off with the potential decline of aggregation theory due to AI advancements. There's a deep dive into the architecture of OpenAI's o3 model and its implications for software engineers. The hosts ponder the future of SaaS companies in a rapidly evolving tech landscape. Plus, they touch upon the curious case of Scarlett Johansson and her missed opportunities. Finally, they share a light-hearted moment, praising the joys of learning to ski as a middle-aged beginner.
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Aggregation Theory's Decline
- Aggregation theory's dominance is waning due to AI and crypto's rise.
- These technologies challenge the zero-marginal-cost principle.
Model Architecture Advancements
- Architectural changes like O1 and O3 are not mere hacks but significant advancements.
- These changes are analogous to Moore's Law's progress through shifting axes of improvement.
Balancing Trade-offs
- Society, including tech, may have over-relied on narrow expertise.
- Political and managerial decisions require balancing trade-offs across domains, not just optimizing one.