The Rest Is Politics 235. What Britain really thinks of politics
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Apr 9, 2024 
Fabian Picardo, the Chief Minister of Gibraltar, engages in a revealing discussion about his controversial decision regarding the police commissioner. He reflects on Gibraltar's unique political landscape and the pressing challenges it faces post-Brexit. The conversation navigates voter sentiments in Britain, exploring the disconnect between politicians and the public. They also touch on the influence of polling data on political strategies and speculate on Narendra Modi's impact in India, raising questions about democracy and governance in both regions.
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Polling Strategy
- Politicians often misuse polls to guide strategy instead of confirming it.
- Polls should inform, not dictate, political decisions, says Alastair Campbell.
Literary Digest's Polling Misstep
- The Literary Digest incorrectly predicted Alf Landon would defeat FDR in 1936 due to unrepresentative sampling.
- This led to George Gallup's rise, who emphasized representative sampling in polling.
Poll Results
- The Rest is Politics/JL Partners poll reveals a significant Labour lead (18 points) over the Conservatives.
- Keir Starmer outperforms Rishi Sunak on most positive attributes, but Sunak leads on negative ones.