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At Any Rate

Global Commodities: 2024 US Election Watch—Reassessing implications for Commodities under a Red Wave

Jul 19, 2024
The podcast discusses the implications of a potential Red Wave in the 2024 US election on commodities, highlighting gold as a winner. It explores factors like fiscal debt, trade policies, and bullish prospects for gold under GOP control. Topics include strategies for US oil production growth, deficit reduction, and implications for agricultural markets and base metals under different political scenarios.
18:35

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Quick takeaways

  • Under a Red Wave, gold and silver demand may increase due to inflation and geopolitical tensions.
  • GOP control could lead to extended tax cuts, deficits, and a shift towards gold as an inflation hedge.

Deep dives

Implications of a Red Wave Scenario on Gold and Silver Markets

Under a red wave scenario, factors such as inflation, tariffs on imports, and increased geopolitical tensions could magnify the demand for gold and silver. The potential executive pressure on the Fed and an aggressive foreign policy stance on China may further boost demand for gold. With a Republican majority in Congress, there could be an extension of Trump's tax cuts, leading to increased deficits and a shift towards gold as a hedge amid rising inflation concerns.

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