Discussing the impact of the housing market on building product cycle, increasing average hold period for portfolio companies, competitiveness of private equity and corporate buyers in acquiring carve outs, and the outlook for transformative M&A transactions in the coming years.
Customized deals may help private equity bridge the bidding gap in M&A opportunities in industrials.
Private equity firms are adapting by structuring deals creatively to remain competitive in acquiring assets.
Deep dives
Strong Performance of Home Builders in the Housing Market
Despite high mortgage rates, the housing market and home builders have been performing exceptionally well. The usual correlation between interest rates and the construction sector seems to have been disrupted, as low unemployment and high demand compensate for the high rates. The scarcity of housing supply has further driven up prices, with homeowners reluctant to sell their properties due to locked-in mortgage rates. As unemployment remains low and people can afford their payments, the activity in the residential construction space is expected to continue.
Private Equity Market Trends and Deal Making
The private equity market is experiencing a shift towards longer hold periods for portfolio companies, with an average period of 5.6 years in 2023. Deal activity in the industrial sector has been relatively dormant due to macro uncertainty and rising interest rates. However, private equity firms are adapting by structuring deals creatively to bridge the gap between buyer and seller expectations. Rolling a portion of the equity and introducing innovative structures has become common to reach agreeable prices and multiples. Despite the competitive advantage of corporate buyers with better capital resources, customized solutions offered by private equity are allowing them to remain competitive in acquiring assets.
Corporate buyers currently have the edge when it comes to M&A opportunities in industrials. Yet customized deals may increasingly provide a way for private equity to bridge the bidding gap, suggests RBC Industrials specialist, Joshua Rosenbaum.
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