Daily Signal Victor Davis Hanson: Five Week Midterm Election Update
Sep 22, 2026
With five weeks until the midterms, the tightest Senate races face an unpredictable finish. Polling accuracy, redistricting, fundraising, candidate records and ideological baggage all come under scrutiny. The discussion spans contests in Michigan, Maine, Minnesota, Texas, Iowa and Kansas, while Iran, gas prices and economic conditions emerge as potential election-shaping forces.
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Why Hanson Distrusts Democratic Polling Leads
- Polling may overstate Democratic strength, especially before election-day adjustments.
- Hanson cites Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed primary, Wisconsin’s Senate race, and Trump-Harris polling as examples of inaccurate forecasts.
Redistricting And Money Complicate The Forecast
- Redistricting changes and campaign-finance advantages create major uncertainties beyond headline polling.
- Democrats lead in several swing-state contests, while Republican PACs and donors may hold greater national resources.
Statewide Candidates Scramble To Hide Radical Records
- Statewide socialist candidates are retreating from earlier positions as conservatives expose their records.
- Hanson says James Talarico scrubbed comments about gender, whiteness, vegetarianism, and religion while opponents circulated them.