Former No.10 aids Dominic Cummings and Lee Cain testify at the Covid inquiry. They discuss structural failures, neglect of vulnerable people, lockdown decision-making, rejected measures in other countries, and missed opportunities in the inquiry.
The Covid inquiry focused more on political language and personal narratives rather than systemic failures and decision-making processes.
The crucial 10-day period where the shift from scientific skepticism to endorsing lockdown measures occurred was not examined in depth by the inquiry.
Deep dives
Key points on the focus of the inquiry
The inquiry seemed more interested in the politics and language used by individuals involved in the COVID response, rather than the structural failures and decision-making processes. It focused on the language used by Dominic Cummings to describe colleagues and less on new revelations. The inquiry also touched on the neglect of vulnerable groups, such as those in care homes, and the reluctance to close borders due to concerns of being labeled racist. However, it did not delve into the effectiveness of border closures or the shift in scientific opinion on lockdown measures.
Lack of investigation into critical decision-making
The inquiry failed to shed light on the crucial 10-day period where the rejection of lockdown measures was based on scientific skepticism. The shift from skepticism to endorsing lockdown as the only option remained unexplored. The emails of Neil Ferguson and other evidence showed a lack of documented points where the opinion changed, but the inquiry did not probe further into this transition. The focus remained on the politics and narrative rather than the scientific basis behind critical decisions.
Modeling assumptions and behavior change
The inquiry briefly touched on the flaws in modeling assumptions, specifically the failure to incorporate the public's behavioral response to case numbers and news reports. This behavior change, where people self-imposed restrictions, could have been a fundamental reason to why certain decisions were made. However, the inquiry did not explore this point thoroughly or consider the implications it has on the modeling industry. Questions regarding the overreliance on flawed models and the decision-making process based on them were not adequately addressed.
Fraser Nelson speaks to Michael Simmons about the second phase of the Covid inquiry, looking at political governance. Attending the inquiry today was former No.10 aids Dominic Cummings and Lee Cain.
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