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133. Mic Drop: A surprising thing about war games and cyber attacks and why the military can’t trust AI

May 24, 2024
Jackie Schneider, Director of war gaming at the Hoover Institution, discusses the surprising differences in responses to cyber attacks versus traditional warfare in war simulations. She explores the impact of cyber warfare on decision-making, China's cyber operations and AI in military strategies, and the challenges of relying on AI for critical strategic decisions.
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ANECDOTE

Origin of War Gaming Simulations

  • Jackie Schneider directs war gaming at the Hoover Institution, designing military crisis simulations.
  • In WWII, aircraft carrier positions on a checkerboard floor helped strategize victory against Japan at Pearl Harbor.
ANECDOTE

Complexity of Modern War Games

  • Jackie organizes war games involving up to 600 players, including former heads of state and tech experts.
  • Players assume high-level roles and make collective crisis decisions via surveys and discussions to simulate real-world strategy.
INSIGHT

Cyber Attacks Trigger Cautious Responses

  • Cyber attacks create uncertainty and anxiety rather than prompt immediate violent response.
  • This delay allows leaders to pause, analyze, and make more measured, rational decisions in crises.
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