Barton Gellman, a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and election integrity expert, delves into the vulnerabilities of American democracy. He shares insights from war games he's conducted, simulating responses to authoritarian threats. They discuss the implications of voter identification laws, the challenges posed by political control over election certification, and the logs of historical events like the Bush-Gore election. Gellman also examines the potential for unrest following upcoming elections and the impact of Trumpism on the Republican Party.
Barton Gellman's Democracy Futures Project highlights the need for proactive measures to safeguard democracy against potential authoritarian threats in America.
The war games revealed a significant confusion among state governors regarding their legal boundaries, emphasizing the importance of understanding their powers during federal crises.
Concerns over election integrity showcase how politically motivated claims of fraud can undermine trust in democratic processes, particularly affecting marginalized populations.
Deep dives
Democracy Futures Project Initiatives
Barton Gelman discusses his shift from journalism to proactive engagement in safeguarding democracy through the Democracy Futures Project at the Brennan Center for Justice. This initiative conducted tabletop exercises to simulate responses to potential authoritarian threats in America, involving over 175 former officials and leaders. The exercises explored scenarios where a president with authoritarian tendencies could manipulate federal powers to suppress dissent and ensure control. By gaming out various responses and consequences, the project aimed to uncover vulnerabilities in the existing political framework and identify potential measures for resistance.
The Role of State Officials
The conversation highlights the crucial role state governors and officials play in countering federal overreach by an autocratic president. Gelman notes that the war games revealed confusion among governors regarding their powers, especially during crises when federal authority is invoked. Participants learned that governors do not always have a clear understanding of the limits of their authority, particularly when the president federalizes the National Guard against their will. This underscores the necessity for state officials to educate themselves about their legal boundaries to effectively resist potential authoritarian abuses.
Election Integrity Concerns
The podcast addresses the contentious issue of election integrity, emphasizing that claims of widespread voter fraud are often politically motivated attempts to suppress votes. Gelman critiques proposals like the SAVE Act aimed at imposing strict voter ID laws, asserting they disproportionately disenfranchise marginalized populations. He argues that the focus on preventing nonexistent non-citizen voting often serves to mask efforts that genuinely threaten democratic participation. The conversation emphasizes the importance of scrutinizing these legislative moves, which may undermine trust in electoral processes.
Public Response to Potential Unrest
The discussion brings attention to the potential for public unrest following closely contested elections, particularly if Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins narrowly. Gelman points out that, while both sides may challenge the legitimacy of the election, Trump's supporters have a history of extreme reactionary behavior. He mentions a concerning landscape where widespread belief in conspiracy theories could spark violence if Trump disputes the election results. The implications of this unrest could destabilize democracy further, without clear legal avenues for resolution.
The Future of Trumpism
Gelman expresses apprehension about the enduring influence of Trumpism, indicating that even if Trump loses, his legacy may continue to shape the Republican Party. He notes that Trump has cultivated a fiercely loyal base that remains largely unaffected by any legal challenges or scandals. This continued allegiance raises concerns about the future direction of the party and the potential for another autocratic figure to emerge. Gelman emphasizes the necessity for pro-democracy advocates to remain vigilant and engaged, regardless of the electoral outcomes, to uphold democratic values and institutions.
Sam Harris speaks with Barton Gellman about election integrity and the safeguarding of American democracy. They discuss the war games he's run to test our response to an authoritarian president, using federal troops against American citizens, the difference between laws and norms, state powers to resist the federal government, voter identification and election integrity, political control over election certifications, the Bush-Gore election, the Electoral Count Reform Act, the prospect of public unrest after the November election, January 6th, George Soros, the "good people on both sides" calumny against Trump, what happens to Trump and Trumpism if Harris wins in November, the presidential debate with Harris, the authoritarian potential of a second Trump term, Project 2025, and other topics.
Barton Gellman is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and author. He currently serves as Senior Advisor at the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Atlantic and The Washington Post. He is the author of Dark Mirror: Edward Snowden and the American Surveillance State and Angler: The Cheney Vice Presidency, for which he won the Los Angeles Times Book Prize.
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