Talking Geopolitics After the Tariffs: What's Next for US-China Security and Economic Relations?
May 23, 2025
Victoria Herczegh, a China analyst specializing in domestic and foreign policy, and Allison Fedirka, director of analysis at Geopolitical Futures, dive into the shifting dynamics between the US and China. They discuss the recent rollback of tariffs and its market impact. Both experts explore China's strategic hesitations and internal economic challenges, especially concerning Taiwan. They highlight the complexities of navigating security and economic relations, suggesting that cooperation is vital for a sustainable future between these two global powers.
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China's Defense Minister Absence Signal
- China sending a lower-level delegation instead of its defense minister to Shangri-La Dialogue suggests internal debate on military posture.
- This absence may signal China's cautiousness amid ongoing security tensions with the US and trade talks.
Pacific Security Flashpoints Persist
- US and China maintain conflicting Freedom of Navigation operations in the Pacific, reflecting deep security rivalry.
- Taiwan and the Philippines are major flashpoints that neither side is willing to cede influence over.
China's Lack of Strong Military Allies
- China has no formal military allies; its closest security relationships are limited and often cautious.
- Attempts to form a trilateral alliance with Japan and South Korea are unlikely given territorial disputes and regional wariness.