How to (Actually) Win in Crypto w/ Jez

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Jan 8, 2025

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ADVICE

Finding Your Tribe and Edge

Find your group first for support and shared learning in the crypto space.
Identify your strengths and focus on that specific edge in trading.

INSIGHT

Timing and Founder Intuition

Being too early in an investment is the same as being wrong, especially in volatile markets.
Understand founder intuition and their incentives when evaluating projects.

ANECDOTE

Rollbit as a Good New Thing

Jez identified Rollbit as a good new thing in 2023 due to its high leverage and innovative features.
He profited from this by understanding the platform's early advantages and the founder's incentives.

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Today I'm joined by Jez to discuss his journey from TradFi to becoming a successful crypto degenerate. We discuss how to recover from blowing up, why he prefers to full-port one bag when it comes to bet sizing, and how to win the crypto MMORPG. Guest's Twitter: https://x.com/izebel_eth Jez's Crypto MMO Article: https://oldcoinbad.com/p/a-starter-guide-to-the-crypto-mmo Jez's Poker Hand History: https://www.worldpokertour.com/live-update/hands-37-38-colin-hong-eliminated-in-7th-place-186000-prime-wpt-prime-championship-season-2024-4-1600000-800000-1600000 Join the Humble Farmer Army: https://whop.com/humble-farmer-army Free Newsletter: https://hfaresearch.substack.com/ Taiki's Twitter: https://twitter.com/TaikiMaeda2 HFA Research Twitter: https://twitter.com/HFAresearch PODCASTS: Crypto Market Wizards: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL6bwqqJO_txgGQySGK5-HSuTPp0LjeGqA Steady Lads: https://www.youtube.com/@0xSteadyLads Timestamps: 0:00 Jez's Background 4:26 How to Be Win in Crypto 11:17 Founder Intuition (RLB, HYPE) 17:01 Knowing When to Cut Bags 21:56 Bet Sizing & Full Porting 26:09 Bouncing Back from Blow Ups 34:08 Thoughts on AI Meta 41:25 Where are we in the Cycle? 45:40 How to Make It in 2025 52:18 Kelly Criterion 56:22 Hyperliquid Thoughts 1:01:14 Winning $186k in a Poker Tournament 1:13:15 Final Advice MY VALUES: QUALITY OVER QUANTITY A lot of content creators are incentivized to pump out content for ad revenue. Taiki has never run YouTube ads on his channel because he believes in creating quality content, not monetizing your eyeballs via ads. On top of not running any YouTube ads, Taiki has never participated in a paid promotion, a channel sponsorship, or even a DEX/CEX ref-link. PREMIUM RESEARCH HFAResearch offers a Premium subscription. This is not meant to be a "copy trading" service or a “pump and dump” signal group. Taiki publishes two premium videos and an AMA livestream every week. Think of Taiki as your personal research analyst that keeps you on top of the markets so you can focus on what you do best. You also gain access to a private discord with the largest premium DeFi community. There, Taiki also gives frequent updates as well as real-time analysis on current events in crypto.