'The mask has slipped' – Tuvia Gering on China, Israel and Hamas
Oct 16, 2023
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'The mask has slipped' - Tuvia Gering, an expert on China, Israel, and Hamas, discusses China's response to the Israel-Gaza conflict, highlighting its bias towards Palestine, motivations for supporting Palestine, and its desire to be seen as a responsible major power in peacekeeping. He also explores the evolving dynamics between China and Israel and the impact of recent events on Israel's future approach to China.
China's biased support for the Palestinians undermines its role as a global leader and mediator in the Middle East.
China's support for the Palestinians is driven by its strategic competition with the United States and its desire to counter international criticism of its treatment of the Uyghur population.
Deep dives
China's Response to Israel-Palestine Conflict
China's response to the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas has shown its bias in favor of the Palestinians. China has a history of voting against Israel and cosponsoring anti-Israel motions in international organizations. Chinese media outlets have been portraying Israel as the aggressor while ignoring Israeli casualties and focusing solely on Palestinian suffering. China's support for the Palestinians is driven by various factors, including its historic pledge to support Palestine, solidarity with the Arab and Muslim world, opposition to Western colonialism, and its strategic competition with the United States. This biased stance has raised concerns about China's role as a global leader and mediator in the Middle East.
China's Stand on Xinjiang Linked to Support for Palestine
China's unwavering support for the Palestinians is linked to its core interest in Xinjiang and its aim to counter international criticism of its treatment of the Uyghur population. By supporting the Palestinians, China garners support from Arab and Muslim countries, creating a united front against Western criticism of Xinjiang. China's strategic competition with the United States and its desire to damage the US's influence in the Middle East also contribute to its biased stance. China views its support for Palestine as a way to tarnish the image of its strategic rival, the US, and undermine Western security architecture in the region.
China's Ambitions in the Middle East at Risk
China's diplomatic ambitions in the Middle East, aimed at positioning itself as a global leader and alternative to Western hegemony, have been challenged by its biased support for the Palestinians. China's role as a peace broker and mediator in the region has been called into question, particularly in light of its failure to condemn Hamas and its one-sided portrayal of the conflict. The recent conflict between Israel and Hamas has revealed a discrepancy between China's bilateral relations with Israel, which appear friendly on the surface, and its biased stance in multilateral forums. This has strained China-Israel relations and raises doubts about the future of China's involvement in the Middle East.
China's Changing Approach to the Middle East
China's approach to the Middle East has evolved beyond trade and energy security to include political and diplomatic dynamics. China's success in brokering a detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran earlier this year showcased its ambitions to play a global, diplomatic role. However, the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas has prompted China to retreat from this responsibility, reverting to primarily economic interests. China's engagement in the Middle East is driven by its desire to boost its economy, counter Western influence, and promote its own development model. The conflict has revealed that China may not be prepared or capable of effectively mediating complex regional disputes.
When China brokered a historic detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran earlier this year, it seemed that a new phase in world history – and certainly in Chinese foreign policy – had opened up. Instead of the US being a policeman of the world, it was the rising power, China, that was stepping into that role. Whereas Chinese foreign policy had previously only really cared about promoting trade and silencing dissidents, it seemed that perhaps, now, Beijing was taking a more leadership role in global diplomacy and security issues.
And yet the events of the last week and China’s response to them have shown that perhaps the country isn’t ready for that responsibility just yet. In response to the horrors unfolding in Israel and later Gaza, Beijing has given only lukewarm statements, calling for 'relevant parties to remain calm, exercise restraint and immediately end the hostilities to protect civilians'. At no point has it condemned Hamas by name.
So what does this mean for China’s grander ambitions in the Middle East? With me to discuss is Tuvia Gering. During peacetime, his full time role is as a researcher on China and the Middle East, with the Israeli thinktank the Institute for National Security Studies and he is also a nonresident fellow in the Atlantic Council.
But in the last week, as with all Israelis, his life has been changed forever. He’s now been called up for active duty.
What you’re about to hear is an incredibly well informed but raw contribution from an expert whose research interests have come crashing into his real life.
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