7am This could only end in a very bad place
Dec 9, 2025
Dr. Albert Palazzo, former Director of War Studies for the Australian Army and adjunct professor at UNSW, dives deep into the complexities of AUKUS. He critiques the optimistic rhetoric surrounding the alliance, shedding light on the secrecy of a Pentagon review not available to the public. Palazzo explains U.S. military plans for enhanced presence in Australia and raises concerns about the feasibility of submarine production amid growing tensions with China. His advocacy for diplomacy over military escalation offers a compelling alternative in this high-stakes discussion.
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Shared Rhetoric Masks Different Interests
- Albert Palazzo warns that AUKUS rhetoric emphasises shared history but hides differing national interests.
- He highlights that political alignment in speeches doesn't substitute for distinct Australian strategic judgment.
US Forces Increasingly Based In Australia
- The US plans to expand force posture with more bomber rotations, Osprey basing and Marine rotations in northern Australia.
- Palazzo finds this concerning because it normalises the US using Australian soil for offensive operations.
Submarine Promises Clash With US Capacity
- Palazzo notes the classified Pentagon AUKUS review isn't public and ministers offer only reassurance.
- He warns Australia's promised submarines rely on a US build-rate that currently can't meet its own needs.