Big Think The Fermi Paradox has a potentially terrifying answer: The Dark Forest | David Kipping
Jul 21, 2025
David Kipping, a Professor of Astronomy at Columbia University, dives into the mysteries of extraterrestrial communication. He explores the Dark Forest Hypothesis, contemplating why advanced civilizations might remain silent. Kipping discusses the risks involved with sending messages into space and the historical attempts like the Arecibo message, highlighting the creativity in conveying humanity's essence. He also considers the long-term implications of leaving messages on the moon, bridging time with cosmic connections.
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The Dark Forest Hypothesis
- The Dark Forest Hypothesis suggests advanced civilizations might hide to avoid hostile threats in the galaxy.
- This frames SETI's reluctance to actively transmit messages, fearing dangers from unknown civilizations.
Civilizations Likely Already Know Earth
- Detecting extraterrestrial intelligence doesn't require their intentional signals; we can see signs like satellites or pollution.
- Advanced civilizations likely already know of Earth's inhabited status regardless of radio transmissions.
Transmitting Risks Extinction
- Game theory shows transmitting signals risks catastrophic loss if others are hostile.
- Hiding avoids risks but brings no benefits, making transmission a dangerous gamble.
