Americano Is Assad’s downfall a ‘catastrophic success’?
Dec 9, 2024
Michael Weiss, Editor at The Insider, and Owen Matthews, a writer and historian specializing in Russia, dive into the unexpected collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime. They explore the implications for regional powers and the potential restoration of the Arab Spring spirit. The duo examines how this may reshape U.S. foreign policy and Iran's weakened influence amidst shifting alliances. The conversation also touches on the evolving landscape of jihadism, highlighting its shift from terrorism to a more nationalist approach.
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Assad Regime's Fragility
- Assad's regime, seemingly strong with Russian backing, collapsed rapidly and unexpectedly.
- This surprising collapse highlights the regime's underlying fragility, a subject for future historical analysis.
Geopolitical Factors and Assad's Downfall
- Geopolitical circumstances and a specific moment allowed for Assad's downfall.
- Normalization with Assad was underway, but Turkey's relationship with Syria presented an obstacle.
Jolani's Transformation
- HTS leader, Abu Muhammad al-Jolani, transitioned from a transnational terrorist to a jihadi nationalist.
- He engaged in state-building in Idlib, benefiting from Turkish support and coordination.