Multipolarity

Turkish Power, Israeli Pivot: The New Middle East That Is Taking Shape with Firas Modad

20 snips
Nov 13, 2025
Firas Modad, founder of Modad Geopolitics, offers keen insights into the evolving landscape of Middle Eastern geopolitics. He discusses how the October 7 attacks disrupted regional alliances and reshaped support dynamics, notably enhancing Turkey’s influence amid the chaos. Firas contrasts Israeli tactical successes with broader strategic consequences and highlights the fragility of U.S. alliances with Egypt and Jordan. He also explores the implications of Iran’s shift towards nationalism and the potential for a decisive rivalry with Turkey.
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INSIGHT

Hamas Reoriented The Regional Balance

  • The October 7 operation shifted Hamas from Iranian backing to broader Sunni sympathy, notably toward Turkey.
  • That realignment increased regional pressure on Israel by mobilizing Sunni states and networks.
INSIGHT

Decapitation Didn't Dismantle Hamas Rule

  • Israel scored tactical decapitation strikes but failed to remove Hamas as Gaza's governing force.
  • International or Muslim peacekeepers would create new security dilemmas and inflame Israeli fears.
INSIGHT

Sunni Public Opinion Undid Normalization Prospects

  • The war galvanized Sunni public opinion, making Saudi normalization with Israel unlikely.
  • Israeli domestic politics have shifted rightwards, deepening regional and Western delegitimization.
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