What Pierre Poilievre’s surge in the polls means for him and Justin Trudeau
Sep 15, 2023
auto_awesome
Guests include Pierre Poilievre and Justin Trudeau. Topics covered: rise in Conservative Party support, challenges for Poilievre and Trudeau, Conservative convention, Polievre's leadership, social issues in Canadian society, liberal party concerns.
The Liberal Party is facing declining popularity and needs to adopt a more aggressive communication strategy to promote their achievements.
The Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, has experienced newfound unity and strength by focusing on cost of living issues, taxation, and foreign policy competency.
The Liberal Party must instill a sense of urgency, show immediate solutions to cost of living issues, avoid divisive identity politics, and present a new sharper direction to regain popularity and appeal across the country.
Deep dives
The Liberal Party's Declining Popularity
The Liberal Party, led by Justin Trudeau, is facing a decline in popularity as recent polls show a significant lead for the Conservatives. The government's approval rating, Trudeau's personal numbers, and the country's direction are at their lowest levels since the 2015 election. Liberal MPs are admitting the need for change and a more aggressive communication strategy to promote the government's achievements. However, there is concern that the gap in the polls is difficult to overcome, and some backbenchers are even suggesting Trudeau should step down.
Conservative Unity and Rise of Pierre Poilievre
The conservative party, led by Pierre Poilievre, is experiencing a newfound unity and strength. At their recent convention, the party showed overwhelming support for Poilievre, even on controversial resolutions related to transgender rights. Poilievre's messaging has focused on cost of living issues, taxation, and foreign policy competency. The convention demonstrated a sense of purpose and direction among conservatives, and the party is leading in polls across provinces except Quebec. However, there are concerns about the party's ability to appeal to more moderate voters.
Challenges for the Liberal Party
The Liberal Party is facing challenges in turning the tide of declining popularity. While housing and affordability are key issues, simply presenting a new housing plan might not be enough to convince voters who question why it wasn't done sooner. The party needs to instill a sense of urgency and show immediate solutions to the cost of living issues. Divisive identity politics and wedge issues should be avoided, as they may do more harm than good. The Liberal Party must find the discipline to be focused, deliver tangible results, and present a new sharper direction that resonates with voters.
The Conservative Party's Strategy
The Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, has successfully united its members and shown a clear focus on cost of living issues, taxation, and foreign policy competency. Poilievre's moderate messaging and reasonable stance on various issues have challenged the perception of him as a far-right extremist. The party needs to continue reassuring voters in the center that they are a viable alternative, while maintaining support from the right. Balancing these factors will be critical to the party's success in upcoming elections.
The Need for Renewal in the Liberal Party
The Liberal Party recognizes the need for renewal and a fresh direction. It is crucial for the party to engage all caucus members and ensure they feel valued and part of a team. Clear communication strategies and policy development that resonate with Canadians are essential. Key areas for focus include the fall economic update, a new housing plan, and delivering tangible results to address the cost of living. Liberals must also avoid divisive identity politics and present a sharp contrast to their opponents to regain popularity and appeal across the country.
In this episode: Abacus Data CEO David Colettto, Toronto Star Reporter Stephanie Levitz, Conservative Party members Kevyn Nightingale, Emilie Matheson, Nancy Bangsboll and Adrian Tarcea, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s former executive director of policy and cabinet affairs Marci Surkes, former NDP MP David Christopherson, former spokesman for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre Anthony Koch, and Toronto Star National Columnist Susan Delacourt. Hosted by Althia Raj.
The political ground shifted over the summer.
The Conservatives, under leader Pierre Poilievre, have steadily increased their support. Riding high now at 41 per cent in Abacus Data’s latest national survey. Meanwhile, the Grits are bleeding support, down at 26 per cent. What happened? This week on “It’s Political” we will take a look at the factors that led to change with Abacus Data CEO David Coletto, and with help from some keen observers and insiders explore the challenges now facing Poilievre and Trudeau.
Toronto Star reporter Stephanie Levitz will join us to discuss the Conservative convention and what to watch for from Poilievre and his team as MPs return to Parliament next week. We’ll hear from convention delegates. And we’ll be joined by the Star’s national columnist Susan Delacourt to discuss the inner turmoil within the Liberal caucus.
We’ll also sit down with Trudeau’s former executive director of policy and cabinet affairs Marci Surkes, former NDP MP David Christopherson, and Poilievre’s former spokesman Anthony Koch for their take on both Poilievre’s success and the Liberals’ struggles.
Some of the clips this week were sourced from CPAC, CBC, CTV, Global News, ABC, CP24 and Anaida Poilievre’s Twitter account.
This episode of “It’s Political” was produced by Althia Raj and Michal Stein. Kevin Sexton mixed the program. Our theme music is by Isaac Joel.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode