The Briefing Room
Global Tensions 1: The Middle East
Aug 8, 2024
Shashank Joshi, the defence editor at The Economist, Professor Lina Khatib, Director of the Middle East Institute at SOAS, and Dr. Burcu Ozcelik, a Senior Research Fellow at RUSI, explore the fraught landscape of the Middle East. They discuss the risks of wider conflict stemming from recent uprisings and the complex dynamics between Israel and Iran. With a focus on Hezbollah's capabilities, U.S. foreign policy's potential shifts, and the global ramifications of the Gaza conflict, the conversation is both timely and insightful.
28:53
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Quick takeaways
- The potential for escalation in the Middle East is heightened by Iran's strategy of using regional proxies like Hezbollah to avoid direct confrontation.
- Global economic stability is at risk as heightened tensions may disrupt supply chains and raise oil and food prices worldwide.
Deep dives
Escalation in the Middle East
Recent conflicts in the Middle East indicate a heightened risk of escalation, particularly between Israel and Iran. Intensified exchanges of fire have been observed, including the assassination of key figures like Ishmael Hanir, the political leader of Hamas. Analysts believe that a significant Iranian and Hezbollah response is not only likely but also imminent due to these provocations. This precarious situation raises concerns about the potential for a broader regional conflict should Iran and Israel engage in direct confrontation.
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