The Nonlinear Library LW - AI #79: Ready for Some Football by Zvi
Aug 29, 2024
49:52
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #79: Ready for Some Football, published by Zvi on August 29, 2024 on LessWrong.
I have never been more ready for Some Football.
Have I learned all about the teams and players in detail? No, I have been rather busy, and have not had the opportunity to do that, although I eagerly await Seth Burn's Football Preview. I'll have to do that part on the fly.
But oh my would a change of pace and chance to relax be welcome. It is time.
The debate over SB 1047 has been dominating for weeks. I've now said my peace on the bill and how it works, and compiled the reactions in support and opposition. There are two small orders of business left for the weekly. One is the absurd Chamber of Commerce 'poll' that is the equivalent of a pollster asking if you support John Smith, who recently killed your dog and who opponents say will likely kill again, while hoping you fail to notice you never had a dog.
The other is a (hopefully last) illustration that those who obsess highly disingenuously over funding sources for safety advocates are, themselves, deeply conflicted by their funding sources. It is remarkable how consistently so many cynical self-interested actors project their own motives and morality onto others.
The bill has passed the Assembly and now it is up to Gavin Newsom, where the odds are roughly 50/50. I sincerely hope that is a wrap on all that, at least this time out, and I have set my bar for further comment much higher going forward. Newsom might also sign various other AI bills.
Otherwise, it was a fun and hopeful week. We saw a lot of Mundane Utility, Gemini updates, OpenAI and Anthropic made an advance review deal with the American AISI and The Economist pointing out China is non-zero amounts of safety pilled. I have another hopeful iron in the fire as well, although that likely will take a few weeks.
And for those who aren't into football? I've also been enjoying Nate Silver's On the Edge. So far, I can report that the first section on gambling is, from what I know, both fun and remarkably accurate.
Table of Contents
1. Introduction.
2. Table of Contents.
3. Language Models Offer Mundane Utility. Turns out you did have a dog. Once.
4. Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility. The AI did my homework.
5. Fun With Image Generation. Too much fun. We are DOOMed.
6. Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon. The removal of trivial frictions.
7. They Took Our Jobs. Find a different job before that happens. Until you can't.
8. Get Involved. DARPA, Dwarkesh Patel, EU AI Office. Last two in SF.
9. Introducing. Gemini upgrades, prompt engineering guide, jailbreak contest.
10. Testing, Testing. OpenAI and Anthropic formalize a deal with the US's AISI.
11. In Other AI News. What matters? Is the moment over?
12. Quiet Speculations. So many seem unable to think ahead even mundanely.
13. SB 1047: Remember. Let's tally up the votes. Also the poll descriptions.
14. The Week in Audio. Confused people bite bullets.
15. Rhetorical Innovation. Human preferences are weird, yo.
16. Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult. 'Alignment research'?
17. People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone. The Chinese, perhaps?
18. The Lighter Side. Got nothing for you. Grab your torches. Head back to camp.
Language Models Offer Mundane Utility
Chat with Scott Sumner's The Money Illusion GPT about economics, with the appropriate name ChatTMI. It's not perfect, but he says it's not bad either. Also, did you know he's going to Substack soon?
Build a nuclear fusor in your bedroom with zero hardware knowledge, wait what? To be fair, a bunch of humans teaching various skills and avoiding electrocution were also involved, but still pretty cool.
Import things automatically to your calendar, generalize this it seems great.
Mike Knoop (Co-founder Zapier and Arc Prize): Parent tip: you can upload a ph...
I have never been more ready for Some Football.
Have I learned all about the teams and players in detail? No, I have been rather busy, and have not had the opportunity to do that, although I eagerly await Seth Burn's Football Preview. I'll have to do that part on the fly.
But oh my would a change of pace and chance to relax be welcome. It is time.
The debate over SB 1047 has been dominating for weeks. I've now said my peace on the bill and how it works, and compiled the reactions in support and opposition. There are two small orders of business left for the weekly. One is the absurd Chamber of Commerce 'poll' that is the equivalent of a pollster asking if you support John Smith, who recently killed your dog and who opponents say will likely kill again, while hoping you fail to notice you never had a dog.
The other is a (hopefully last) illustration that those who obsess highly disingenuously over funding sources for safety advocates are, themselves, deeply conflicted by their funding sources. It is remarkable how consistently so many cynical self-interested actors project their own motives and morality onto others.
The bill has passed the Assembly and now it is up to Gavin Newsom, where the odds are roughly 50/50. I sincerely hope that is a wrap on all that, at least this time out, and I have set my bar for further comment much higher going forward. Newsom might also sign various other AI bills.
Otherwise, it was a fun and hopeful week. We saw a lot of Mundane Utility, Gemini updates, OpenAI and Anthropic made an advance review deal with the American AISI and The Economist pointing out China is non-zero amounts of safety pilled. I have another hopeful iron in the fire as well, although that likely will take a few weeks.
And for those who aren't into football? I've also been enjoying Nate Silver's On the Edge. So far, I can report that the first section on gambling is, from what I know, both fun and remarkably accurate.
Table of Contents
1. Introduction.
2. Table of Contents.
3. Language Models Offer Mundane Utility. Turns out you did have a dog. Once.
4. Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility. The AI did my homework.
5. Fun With Image Generation. Too much fun. We are DOOMed.
6. Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon. The removal of trivial frictions.
7. They Took Our Jobs. Find a different job before that happens. Until you can't.
8. Get Involved. DARPA, Dwarkesh Patel, EU AI Office. Last two in SF.
9. Introducing. Gemini upgrades, prompt engineering guide, jailbreak contest.
10. Testing, Testing. OpenAI and Anthropic formalize a deal with the US's AISI.
11. In Other AI News. What matters? Is the moment over?
12. Quiet Speculations. So many seem unable to think ahead even mundanely.
13. SB 1047: Remember. Let's tally up the votes. Also the poll descriptions.
14. The Week in Audio. Confused people bite bullets.
15. Rhetorical Innovation. Human preferences are weird, yo.
16. Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult. 'Alignment research'?
17. People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone. The Chinese, perhaps?
18. The Lighter Side. Got nothing for you. Grab your torches. Head back to camp.
Language Models Offer Mundane Utility
Chat with Scott Sumner's The Money Illusion GPT about economics, with the appropriate name ChatTMI. It's not perfect, but he says it's not bad either. Also, did you know he's going to Substack soon?
Build a nuclear fusor in your bedroom with zero hardware knowledge, wait what? To be fair, a bunch of humans teaching various skills and avoiding electrocution were also involved, but still pretty cool.
Import things automatically to your calendar, generalize this it seems great.
Mike Knoop (Co-founder Zapier and Arc Prize): Parent tip: you can upload a ph...