Mr. M Podcast | Maurizio Pedrazzoli Grazioli The Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Exposed
Nov 19, 2025
Dive into the thrilling world of Bitcoin as hosts analyze its recent downturn and what it means for traders. They discuss technical channels and key support levels, alongside rising fear and greed in the market. The conversation takes a turn as they challenge the myth of the four-year Bitcoin cycle, suggesting macro factors hold more sway. Foundational strategies like dollar-cost averaging and long-term commitment versus short-term trading are highlighted. The dynamics of institutional trading and market liquidity add layers of intrigue, making for a compelling listen!
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Volatility Makes Short-Term Outcomes Binary
- Volatility has risen so sharp drops feel worse even when magnitude matches prior corrections.
- That makes quick V-shaped recoveries or fast further declines both more likely in the short term.
Past Drawdowns Preceded New Highs
- Historical 25–30% drawdowns have repeatedly led to new all-time highs after recovery.
- Short-term technicals are low-confidence; broader patterns matter more for trajectory.
DCA And Ignore Short-Term Noise
- Do dollar-cost-average and stack sats monthly regardless of price to avoid timing risk.
- Ignore short-term noise and focus on accumulating for the long-term mission.