Sports Gambling Podcast

NFL Thanksgiving Prop Bets (Ep. 2437)

4 snips
Nov 26, 2025
CJ Sullivan, a savvy podcaster from The Bottom Line Bombs, joins to unpack the Thanksgiving NFL prop bets. They dive into intriguing player props, advocating for David Montgomery's rushing yards and Patrick Mahomes' passing volume. The discussion heats up with first touchdown predictions, spotlighting sleepers like Mike Gesicki and Dallas Goddard. From Lions-Packers to Ravens-Bengals, they explore strategic bets and game dynamics, all while keeping the holiday spirit alive in their playful banter. Perfect for your Thanksgiving viewing!
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ANECDOTE

Watching Games Beats Purely Reading Metrics

  • The hosts mocked shows that don't watch games and rely solely on stats, citing a podcast surprised by Taysom Hill carries.
  • They used Taysom Hill as an example of why watching games matters for betting props.
INSIGHT

EPA Can Highlight Surprising Quarterback Upside

  • Jamis Winston and Jordan Love show high EPA-per-play since midseason, revealing teams can suddenly exploit soft secondaries.
  • Ryan Kramer warns EPA is useful but can mislead without game context and trick-play effects.
ADVICE

Attack Matchups With Targeted Player Props

  • Target specific player props rather than broad passing yards when matchups create big-play opportunities.
  • Sean Green suggests Romeo Doubs' longest catch over 19.5 yards as a focused, actionable prop in the dome.
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