From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano

Why Bitcoin Crashed 30% And What Happens Next

11 snips
Nov 18, 2025
Bitcoin's sudden drop of 30% has sparked intrigue, especially as it threatens to end 2025 in negative territory. Key charts reveal the dynamics behind this sharp correction and the trends in global liquidity. The conversation also highlights the waning AI narrative impacting tech valuations, as heavyweights express concerns about the U.S. maintaining its competitive edge against China. Pompliano emphasizes Bitcoin's historic volatility and resilience while dissecting the macroeconomic pressures fueling uncertainty.
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INSIGHT

Rapid 30% Correction Cycle

  • Bitcoin fell ~30% from the October peak and is now negative on the year, signaling sharp short-term pain for holders.
  • The drop compressed correction durations, showing each 30% drawdown this cycle happened faster than the last.
INSIGHT

Liquidity vs. Price Disconnect

  • Global liquidity is much higher now than when BTC last traded at these levels, contradicting expectations about price catching up to liquidity.
  • Despite liquidity and oversold signals, short-term holders are deeply underwater which fuels fear and selling pressure.
ADVICE

Maintain Discipline During Volatility

  • Stay mentally disciplined during volatility because persistent bids historically return after deep drawdowns.
  • Keep your head on a swivel and prepare for eventual renewed demand from long-term buyers and whales.
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