The Grant Williams Podcast

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 93 - Steve Diggle

Feb 21, 2025
Steve Diggle, from Vulpes Investment Management in Singapore, returns to volatility trading after a 14-year break. He discusses the current favorable conditions for downside hedging amidst high market valuations and fewer central bank interventions. Diggle highlights challenges in the biotech sector post-COVID, revealing a unique investment opportunity in undervalued companies, albeit with significant risks. He also explores the political environment under Trump, emphasizing its effects on market uncertainty and investment strategies.
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INSIGHT

Trump 2.0 vs. Trump 1.0

  • Trump 2.0 is more ideological and has a stronger team than Trump 1.0.
  • He also faces less opposition, making him more powerful and unpredictable.
INSIGHT

Trump's Unpredictability

  • While some were optimistic about Trump's election, the resulting uncertainty is negative for businesses.
  • Businesses need predictability for long-term investments, which Trump's unpredictability disrupts.
ANECDOTE

Return to Volatility

  • Steve Diggle's firm, Vulpes Investment Management (formerly tradest), was known for its "Big Short" strategy.
  • They exited this strategy in 2010 due to central bank intervention, but now see downside hedging as viable again.
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