In this thought-provoking discussion featuring Katya Adler, BBC's Europe editor, and James Landale, diplomatic correspondent, the podcast dives into the delicate balance of European security and troop deployment in Ukraine. They explore the urgent emergency summit in Paris, highlighting the potential for peace agreements while addressing the complexities of military commitments. The conversation also touches on the intriguing dynamics of US-Russian diplomacy, with a humorous nod to Saudi Arabia's emerging mediator role.
The gathering of European leaders in Paris highlights the urgent need for a united front in addressing Ukraine's security amid potential peace negotiations.
There are significant concerns that rushing to deploy peacekeeping troops could undermine European influence in crucial peace discussions involving Ukraine's interests.
Deep dives
Urgency of European Leadership Meetings
A significant last-minute meeting among European leaders, prompted by recent U.S. remarks about Ukraine, highlights the growing urgency in addressing the conflict. Leaders from military powers, including the UK and France, gathered in Paris to discuss the implications of the war and the importance of maintaining a united front. This underscores concerns that any future peace deal may occur without adequate representation of Ukrainian interests, potentially leaving them vulnerable. Leaders are sending a clear message: Europe will not abandon Ukraine and is prepared to address security concerns proactively.
Symbolism vs. Practicality in European Defense
The gathering served both symbolic and practical purposes, reflecting Europe's military power and the pressing need for coordinated defense strategies. Although a majority of discussions centered around sending peacekeeping troops, there is a recognition that such plans are fraught with uncertainty about troop availability and mission objectives. Different member states expressed varied levels of commitment, as some, like France and the UK, appeared more willing to offer military support. However, others, including Spain and Germany, are still cautious, highlighting the complexities of any potential deployment.
Strategic Risks of Early Military Discussions
Conversations are rapidly shifting towards the logistics of deploying troops, raising concerns about strategic risks associated with a premature focus on military solutions. There is apprehension that diving too deep into the specifics of a security arrangement could limit European influence in peace negotiations, leaving the continent as mere guarantors of terms set by other powers. Experts caution against rushing to deploy a peacekeeping force without a clear understanding of its role and authority, emphasizing the need for robust planning and thorough conditions. The call for clear logistical frameworks suggests a desire for accountability and long-term strategic clarity.
Continued U.S.-Russia Dialogue and Its Implications
The ongoing U.S.-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia signal a complex thawing of relations, moving away from being seen as adversaries toward exploring diplomatic engagements. Following a phone call between the U.S. and Russian leaders which hinted at negotiations, expectations are low for immediate breakthroughs, but the meeting aims to outline the groundwork for future discussions. The dynamics of these negotiations could shape Europe’s security framework significantly, especially considering the historical baggage associated with U.S. assurances in international conflicts. Both sides are expected to express firm demands, complicating the broader geopolitical landscape as Europe prepares for increased responsibilities amidst uncertainty.
Today, we ask what a peace deal for Ukraine might look like, as European leaders gather in Paris for an emergency summit.
Sir Keir Starmer has said the UK was "ready and willing to put troops on the ground", while President Trump is expected to be meeting President Putin in Saudi Arabia “very soon”.
Adam is joined by our Europe editor, Katya Adler and Lord Kim Darroch, former UK Ambassador to Washington. We also speak to Joe Pike, political investigations correspondent and James Landale, diplomatic correspondent.
You can now listen to Newscast on a smart speaker. If you want to listen, just say "Ask BBC Sounds to play Newscast”. It works on most smart speakers.
You can join our Newscast online community here: https://discord.gg/NbuxWnmY
Newscast brings you daily analysis of the latest political news stories from the BBC. It was presented by Adam Fleming. It was made by Chris Flynn and Shiler Mahmoudi. The technical producer was Gareth Jones. The assistant editor is Chris Gray. The editor is Sam Bonham.
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