In Moscow's Shadows 111: A Nervous Kremlin and a Neglected Police Force
Aug 20, 2023
auto_awesome
The podcast discusses the nervousness of the Kremlin, cracking down on critics and struggling to win society's loyalty. It also explores the neglect and abuse of the Russian police force and the potential consequences for the Kremlin. Additionally, the podcast delves into political developments, public opinion on the war, and challenges faced by the police force, including power struggles and operational limitations. It questions the loyalty and potential actions of the police force during a crisis in Russia.
58:25
AI Summary
AI Chapters
Episode notes
auto_awesome
Podcast summary created with Snipd AI
Quick takeaways
The Kremlin's increasing crackdown on critics reflects its fear of opposition figures and potential political alliances against the government.
The upcoming gubernatorial elections in Hakassia highlight the significance of local struggles in shaping wider political dynamics in Russia.
The neglect of the Russian police force, prioritization of public order forces, and resource shortages have resulted in operational difficulties, corruption, and a shortage of personnel, emphasizing the need for a well-supported and functioning police force.
Deep dives
Concerns about the Kremlin's Worries
The podcast episode discusses signs that the Kremlin is increasingly worried about the situation in Russia. These signs include the transfer of special forces unit Grom to the National Guard, the recent sentencing of Alexei Navalny to another 19 years in prison, and the closure of institutions monitoring elections and crackdown on opposition figures. The Kremlin's actions reflect its fear of figures like Navalny and potential political alliances against the government. The increasing pressure on opposition forces and restrictions on media highlight the regime's disregard for international perception. The discussion reveals that the Kremlin's worries stem from a fragile grip on power and a recognition of the potential for internal and societal unrest.
Hopes for Oppositional Struggles in Hakassia
The podcast highlights the southern Siberian region of Hakassia as a potential site for a political struggle in upcoming gubernatorial elections. The region had previously experienced protests in 2018 due to dissatisfaction with government policies. The current opposition candidate, Valentin Konovallov, has gained support from various political parties. Despite attempts to undermine his campaign through biased media coverage, Konovallov has maintained popularity among local elites and the public. His candidacy represents a challenge to the ruling party's candidate and showcases potential failures of the state's administrative resources. The podcast emphasizes the importance of this local struggle in shedding light on wider political dynamics in Russia.
Neglect and Crisis in the Russian Police Force
The episode discusses the neglect and challenges faced by the Russian police force. It acknowledges the historical under-policing in the country and the prioritization of political police forces over regular law enforcement. The neglect of the police by the Kremlin and the shift towards public order forces has resulted in resource shortages and operational difficulties. This has led to dissatisfaction among police officers, increased corruption, and a shortage of personnel. The podcast highlights the significance of addressing these issues and the importance of a well-supported and functioning police force in maintaining control and societal trust.
Questioning Russia's Status as Heavily Policed
Contrary to common assumptions, the podcast challenges the notion that Russia is one of the most heavily policed countries in the world. It explains that the high numbers often cited are misleading due to the inclusion of non-active law enforcement personnel in official statistics. The episode provides a comparison between the number of actual police officers per capita in Russia and other countries, revealing a lower police density than commonly believed. The discussion highlights the need to critically examine such assumptions and provides insights into the complex reality of policing in Russia.
Outlook for the Russian Police Force
The episode concludes by examining the challenges and opportunities facing the Russian police force. It emphasizes the importance of police connections with society and the dangers of neglecting law enforcement. While recent trends suggest an increased focus on crude forms of social control, the podcast argues that this neglect of the police force may have unintended consequences. It explores the possible role of the police in future crises and the potential impact of their actions on the overall dynamics of Russian society.
Marking the anniversary of the second day of the 1991 August Coup, the day when momentum began to shift away from the hardliners behind the seizure of power, a look at how the Putin regime - the spiritual descendant of those same plotters - is getting jumpy, cracking down on critics left and right and unable to win the loyalty of society.
An aspect of this, which I explore in the second part, is how a Russian policeman's lot is not a happy one, and not only is Russia not the massively-heavily policed society that is often claimed, but that the expansion of the public order forces at the expense of the regular police is something that may come back to bite the Kremlin.
The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.
You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here.