An idiot’s guide to the current state of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

It’s been more than 266 days since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In more recent few months, the war’s momentum has swung dramatically in Kyiv’s favor amid a Ukrainian counteroffensive that has Russian troops retreating from areas that Moscow has formally annexed.

To get a grasp on where things stand currently in the war, Meduza spoke to military analyst Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI), who’s been meticulously gathering operational data about the conflict since before Russian troops started pouring over the Ukrainian border.

Timestamps for this episode:

• (2:38) What’s so special about HIMARS, or High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems?
• (10:22) What other advanced weapons could give Ukraine new advantages in the war?
• (14:57) What’s the military impact of Russia’s airstrikes against Ukraine’s critical infrastructure?
• (18:57) How far might Ukraine’s counteroffensive reach into occupied territory? Will Russian defenses hold at some point?
• (25:19) Is the Russian military regrouping or on the verge of collapse?
• (27:41) What happened with the missile(s) that recently killed two civilians in Poland?
• (30:26) Is Russia going to run out of rockets or ammunition?

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