The Ezra Klein Show

A New Middle East?

614 snips
Jun 25, 2025
Aaron David Miller, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and a former diplomat, dives deep into the evolving U.S.-Israel-Iran relations. The conversation uncovers how President Trump's military actions against Iran have shifted the balance of power in the Middle East. They discuss the challenges of leadership in the region and the implications of Iran's potential nuclear ambitions. Miller also critiques the effectiveness of military intervention and emphasizes the need for diplomacy in addressing these complex geopolitical tensions.
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INSIGHT

Israel's Escalation Dominance

  • Israel achieved escalation dominance, controlling military conflict pace with Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran.
  • This dominance enables Israel to deter adversary escalation and sets the framework for current regional dynamics.
INSIGHT

Fragmented Middle East Landscape

  • The Middle East remains broken, angry, and dysfunctional with state failures and authoritarianism.
  • Gulf states rise as wealthy, stable powers; non-Arab states like Turkey, Israel, and Iran still influence the region.
INSIGHT

Nuclear Deal Stalled, Used as Pretext

  • The JCPOA nuclear deal was flawed but functional and constrained Iran's nuclear ambitions.
  • Trump and Netanyahu used stalled negotiations as a pretext for military action rather than true diplomatic breakthrough.
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