The Intelligence from The Economist
The Intelligence: Yes, Trump could win again
Nov 17, 2023
Idris Kalun, Washington bureau chief for The Economist, and Duncan Weldon, a specialist in British affairs, discuss the shifting political landscape ahead of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, suggesting Trump has a strong chance to win again. They analyze Biden's declining support and the challenges he faces, from age to voter perceptions. The conversation also touches on Basildon as a mirror for Britain's national trends and remembers peace activist Vivian Silver, underscoring the impact of her tragic story against the backdrop of conflict.
28:52
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Quick takeaways
- Donald Trump would likely win if the US presidential election were held today.
- Joe Biden faces challenges in his re-election bid, losing support from key Democratic constituencies.
Deep dives
Current Polls Suggest Trump Would Win if Election Were Held Today
According to recent polls, if the US presidential election were held today, Donald Trump would likely win. President Joe Biden is trailing in key swing states, including Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Michigan, where he is losing support from working-class voters and minorities. Voters seem to favor Trump on issues such as immigration, the economy, and the conflict in Gaza. However, these numbers are subject to change over the course of a year-long campaign.
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