The Intelligence from The Economist The Intelligence: Yes, Trump could win again
Nov 17, 2023
Idris Kalun, Washington bureau chief for The Economist, and Duncan Weldon, a specialist in British affairs, discuss the shifting political landscape ahead of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, suggesting Trump has a strong chance to win again. They analyze Biden's declining support and the challenges he faces, from age to voter perceptions. The conversation also touches on Basildon as a mirror for Britain's national trends and remembers peace activist Vivian Silver, underscoring the impact of her tragic story against the backdrop of conflict.
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Potential Trump Victory
- Donald Trump is likely to win if the presidential election were held today, despite being widely disliked.
- Recent polls show Joe Biden trailing Trump in key swing states like Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Michigan.
Voter Sentiment
- Voters favor Trump on key issues like immigration, the economy, and even the conflict in Gaza.
- Biden's approval ratings are similar to Trump's at this point in his presidency, historically low.
Key Issues
- Voters in swing states trust Trump over Biden on the economy by a significant margin.
- Despite Biden's efforts, voters prefer Trump's handling of immigration and the Israeli conflict.
